The annual meetings of the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies are designed to encourage debate and provoke thought across conventional boundaries, around issues of societal and corporate risk. The 3rd Annual Meeting of the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies examines how risk is likely to change in the future, emerging risks, and the increasing uncertainties of planning for the longer term. The natural tendency in planning is to assume that recent history is a good guide to future trends, or that today’s situation will continue for the foreseeable future. And yet there are many examples, in many periods and fields, of sudden unexpected changes in direction from historical preceding trends. This conference will examine the challenges of planning for the future, in particular developing business strategy and government policy over longer term horizons.
Day one: Wednesday 7 December 2011
Time |
Session |
---|---|
09:00-09:30 |
Coffee & Meeting Registration |
09:30-09:40 |
Welcome and introduction to the Centre for Risk Studies’ 3rd Annual Meeting |
09:40-11:10 |
Plenary Session 1: Unsustainability
|
11:10-11:30 |
Coffee and tea |
11:30-13:15 |
Plenary Session 2: Speculations on the Future – Geo-Political Change
|
13:15-14:15 |
Panel Discussion: Geo-political Change: Dialogue on Globalisation, Sovereignty, and Balance
|
14:15-15:30 |
Plenary Session 3: Future-proof Decisions and Recommendations
|
15:30-16:00 |
Coffee and tea |
16:00-16:35 |
Plenary Session 3 Continued: Future-proof Decisions and Recommendations
|
16:35-17:15 |
Panel Discussion and Open Forum: Profiles of the Future and Emerging Risks
|
17:30-19:00 |
Drinks Reception |
19:15-22:00 |
Meeting Dinner at Christ’s College, Cambridge |
Day two: Thursday 8 December 2011
Time |
Session |
---|---|
09:00-09:30 |
Coffee & Meeting Registration |
09:30-09:35 |
Welcome and Introduction |
09:40-11:10 |
Plenary Session 4: Imagining and Doing the “How”
|
11:10-11.30 |
Coffee and tea |
11:30-13.00 |
Plenary Session 5: Risk Research Focus Group Discussions |
11:30-11.35 |
Introduction to Risk Research Tracks & Focus Group Discussions |
11:35-13:00 |
Risk Research Tracks: Focus Group Discussions and Information
|
13:00-14:00 |
Lunch |
14:00-15:30 |
Risk Research Focus Group De-briefs and Discussion |
15:30-15:45 |
Closing |
Speakers
- Professor Daniel Ralph, Academic Director, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies & Professor of Operations Research, Cambridge Judge Business School
- Dr Robert Muir-Wood, Chief Research Officer, Risk Management Solutions
- André Abadie, Managing Director, Global Environmental & Social Risk Management, JP Morgan
- Professor Brendan Simms, Professor in the History of European International Relations, University of Cambridge, Department of Politics and International Studies
- Professor Paul Berkman, Fulbright Distinguished Scholar & Research Professor, University of California, Santa Barbara
- Andrew Freeman, Independent Risk Advisor & Author
- Crispin Hawes, Director, Middle East and North Africa, Eurasia Group
- Derek Leatherdale, Head of Geo-political Risk, HSBC
- Professor Jaideep Prabhu, Jawaharlal Nehru Professor of Indian Business & Enterprise , University of Cambridge Judge Business School
- Professor Brendan Simms, Professor in the History of European International Relations, University of Cambridge, Department of Politics and International Studies
- Dr Emily So, Lecturer, University of Cambridge, Department of Architecture & Director, CURBE
- Professor Haresh Shah, Chairman of Advisory Board, Institute for Catastrophe Risk Management, Nanyang Technological University
- Alexander Naumov, BP, Group Economics
- Dr Peter McCormack, Senior Risk Specialist – Risk Frameworks and Governance, Risk Specialist Division, Financial Services Authority
- Dr Ned Allen, Senior Fellow & Chief Scientist, Lockheed Martin, Aeronautics
- Katharine Thoday, Programme Manager, Cambridge Programme for Sustainability Leadership
- Dr Emily Shuckburgh, Programme Manager, Cambridge Programme for Sustainability Leadership
- Mark Gilbert, London Bureau Chief, Bloomberg News
- Rowan Douglas, CEO, Willis Global Analytics & Chairman, Willis Research Network
- Dr Emily Shuckburgh, Head of the Open Oceans Research Group, British Antarctic Survey & UK Department of Energy
- Philip Brice, Corporate Risk Manager, BP Treasury
- Dr Miles Elsden, Head of Defence and Security, UK Government Office for Science
- Neil J Smith, Manager, Emerging Risks & Research Exposure Management, Performance Management, Lloyd’s
- Grant Kopec, PhD Candidate, University of Cambridge, Department of Engineering
- Professor David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, University of Cambridge
- Nafiz Karabudak, Senior Manager, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Technology Initiatives
- Dr Hugh Hunt, Senior Lecturer
- Dr Andrew Coburn, Senior Vice President, Risk Management Solutions & Director of External Advisory Board, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies
- Simon Ruffle, Director of Technology, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies
- Michelle Tuveson, Executive Director, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies
- Dr Dougal Goodman, Chief Executive, The Foundation for Science and Technology
- Dr Gary Bowman, Research Associate, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies
- Alan Smith, Chief of Staff and Global Head of Risk Strategy, HSBC
- Adrian Leonard, PhD Candidate, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies & University of Cambridge Department of History
- Peter Nakada, Managing Director, Risk Management Solutions
- Nina Andreeva, PhD Candidate, University of Cambridge Judge Business School
Organising Committee Chair
Michelle Tuveson, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies |
Organising Committee
Andrew Coburn, Risk Management Solutions |
Andrew Freeman, Deloitte Centre for Financial Services |
Paul Glasserman, Columbia Business School |
Daniel Ralph, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies |
Simon Ruffle, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies |
Nick Watkins, British Antarctic Survey |
Ruth Whaley, Regulatory Fundamentals Consulting, LLC |
Interview with speakers
- Professor Daniel Ralph: Welcome and introduction to the Centre for Risk Studies’ 3rd Annual Meeting.
- Dr Robert Muir-Wood, Risk Management Solutions, on the future of risk.
- Philip Brice, BP Treasury, on profiles of the future and emerging risks.
- Dr Ned Allen, Lockheed Martin, on measuring and mitigating operational risks in engineered cyber-physical systems.
- Dr Emily Shuckburgh, British Antarctic Survey, on future climate change.
- Dr Andrew Coburn, Risk Management Solutions: Imagining and doing the “how”.
- Dr Miles Elsden, Government Office for Science: Profiles of the future and emerging risks.
- Crispin Hawes, Eurasia Group, on geo-political change: dialogue on globalisation, sovereignty, and balance.