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Scott Kelly

Predicting impact

A year after UK lockdown, the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies calls for probability-based scenario approach to forecasting crises due to unreliability of well-established models. The unreliability of well-established macroeconomic models at times of upheaval such as the COVID-19 pandemic…

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Businesswoman wearing a face mask as she stares into the distance out of an office block window.

The Actuary: Social unrest: a systemic risk

With the help of social media, civil unrest is a risk that has profoundly changed in nature, says Dr Scott Kelly, Senior Research Associate at the Centre for Risk Studies, Cambridge Judge Business School. Read the full article [theactuary.com]…

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