1st Cambridge Risk Research Symposium

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27 Jun 2024

09:30 -17:00

Times are shown in local time.

Open to: Specialists and business managers, including threat specialists, academics, policy-makers, practitioners and advisors
Registration fee: Day rate – £50

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Cambridge Judge Business School

Trumpington St

Cambridge

CB2 1AG

United Kingdom

Business implications of climate transition, war and emerging trends 

The Cambridge Risk Research Symposium is a one-day event run by the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies, Systemic Risks Hub, that brings together a multidisciplinary panel of business and academic experts on systemic risk and give them the opportunity to present their work around major topics.

The Cambridge Risk Research Symposium is organised to include interdisciplinary sessions, poster presentations and networking events to promote knowledge exchange across sectors.  

On the 15th anniversary of the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies, we bring together a multidisciplinary panel of business and academic experts on systemic risk and give them the opportunity to present their work around three major topics:

  • Climate transition
  • World at war
  • Megatrends.

These topics highlight the research pillars of the Cambridge Systemic Risks Hub and will follow on in further detail from the 15th Cambridge Risk Summit. Please contact the Centre for further information on our Cambridge Risk Research Symposium. 

Platform partner

Programme

09:30 – 10:00

Registration coffee & tea

10:00 – 10:10

Opening address

10:10 – 11:00

Session #1: Climate Transition

Chair: Fernanda Lammoglia, Research Associate, CCRS

  • Kris de Meyer, Director, UCL Climate Action Unit (CAU) & Senior Research Fellow, Department of Earth Sciences at UCL 
  • Tamaryn Napp, Senior Policy Officer, Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS)

This session will explore key aspects of transition risk. It will include presentations on psychology aspects, sustainable finances, technology and energy policy to encourage actions aligned with the net-zero transition.

11:00 – 11:30

Poster session #1 and coffee

11:45 – 12:45

Session #2: World at War

  • Jimena Blanco, Senior Director, Chief Analyst at Verisk Maplecroft
  • Timothy Less, Geopolitical Analyst, Geopolitical Risk Study Group at the University of Cambridge
  • Taha Tariq, Geopolitical Research Lead, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies at the University of Cambridge

In the last decade, global tensions appear to have increased with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Hammas/Israel conflict and escalation in the Middle East. This session will present multiple geopolitical futures for the next 5-10 years.

12:45 – 13:00

Group photo

13:00 – 13:30

Poster session #2

13:30 – 14:30

Lunch

14:30 – 15:50

Session #3: Megatrends

Chair:  Kevin Tang, Researcher, CCRS

Multidisciplinary scenarios are bringing together economic modelling, social and political impacts, natural or material science background and behavioural aspects. The consideration of connected mega-trends requires a meta-multi-disciplinary approach where experts from several fields (technology, demographics, physical effects etc) come together to build consistent and connected scenarios. This session will explore some relevant megatrends and will attempt to bring them together under the umbrella of the river catchment metaphor.  

15:50 – 16:00

Conclusions

16:00 – 17:00

Poster & drinks at CJBS reception

Speakers

Jimena Blanco

Senior Director, Chief Analyst at Verisk Maplecroft

Jimena is Verisk Maplecroft’s Chief Analyst. She frequently provides advice to multinational companies and multilateral institutions on geopolitical and country-specific political risk. Jimena has undertaken numerous field projects, including Human Rights Impact Assessments for clients across the globe.

Jimena participates in diplomatic, academic and business forums, addressing issues of global, regional and country-specific concern. She is an experienced public speaker and is often invited to deliver analysis to some of the world’s largest industry shows and conferences. Jimena also makes regular contributions to the British and foreign media.

Prior to working for Verisk Maplecroft, Jimena edited several publications at Latin News and wrote extensively on Latin America. She was also a contributor to the International Institute for Strategic Studies’ special dossier, The Farc Files: Ecuador, Venezuela and the Secret Archive of ‘Raúl Reyes’.

Jimena studied History and Political Science at Randolph-Macon Woman’s College and obtained a master’s degree in Latin American Studies from the Institute for the Study of the Americas, University of London.

Kris de Meyer

Director, UCL Climate Action Unit (CAU) & Senior Research Fellow, Department of Earth Sciences at UCL

Kris is a neuroscientist, science communicator and science-policy co-production expert; bringing insights from neuroscience and psychology to the domain of climate change.

Kris specialises in how people become entrenched in their beliefs, how this leads to polarisation in society, and how to overcome this. He co-produced Right Between Your Ears – an award-winning documentary exploring how people become entrenched in their views, and co-created The Justice Syndicate, a participatory play about how we disagree.

At the CAU, Kris is responsible for the neuroscientific underpinning of the programme of interventions provided. Kris works closely with clients providing unique expertise on how the human brain responds to climate change.

Fernanda Lammoglia

Research Associate, Centre for Risk Studies

Fernanda is a Research Associate in systemic risks at the Centre for Risk Studies. She is a Mexican engineer focused on the application of technology for development and social innovation. Previously, Fernanda worked on gene and cellular therapies for several years and then transitioned to consulting in technology innovation, disaster risk management (DRM) and emergency preparedness and response (EP&R). Fernanda is also a passionate traditional fencer and martial artist, looking forward to this new opportunity to work on systemic risks at the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies.

Timothy Less

Geopolitical Analyst, Geopolitical Risk Study Group at the University of Cambridge

Dr Timothy Less runs the study group in geopolitical risk analysis at the Centre for Geopolitics. He also works as a consultant for the private sector with a specialisation in the politics of central and eastern Europe about which he writes and comments for the media.

Previously, he worked as an analyst, diplomat, and policymaker at the Foreign and Commonwealth Office where he led the Countries at Risk of Instability project and ran the British Embassy Office in Banja Luka and the EU Institutions department. He also taught Eastern European Politics at the University of Kent.

Tim holds an MA in Eastern European Studies from the School of Slavonic and East European Studies, an MSt in International Relations, and a PhD in modern history from the University of Cambridge. His recent publications include the ‘City Risk Index 2022’ (co-author, Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies, January 2023); ‘The New Warsaw Pact’ (Engelsberg Ideas, May 2023); and ‘What If? Ten Geopolitical Risks to Keep You Awake at Night’ (GIRO conference paper, November 2023).

Trevor Maynard

Vice Chair & Director of Systemic Risk at the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies

Dr Trevor Maynard is the Director of Systemic Risk at the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies located at the Judge Business School.

He qualified as an actuary and holds a PhD in Statistics from the LSE and a Masters in Pure Mathematics from the University of Warwick.

His work has involved risk modelling in various guises from Pensions and Life Assurance to general insurance, working for firms such as Lloyd’s of London and Mercer. Whilst at Lloyd’s his team produced risk reports on subjects including Pandemics, Climate Change, Deep tail Marine disasters, Nano Technology, Geopolitics, AI, Robotics and IoT working with many think tanks, universities and specialist risk modelling firms.

Additionally he advises insurtech firms on risk and data science.

Tamaryn Napp

Senior Policy Officer, Department for Energy Security and Net Zero

Dr Tamaryn Napp, is Senior Policy Officer in the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero. Dr Napp has over 14 years of experience working in climate change mitigation with a particular focus on industrial decarbonisation. Her roles in government to date include development of the Industrial Decarbonisation Strategy published in 2021 and more recently developing policy to support electrification of industry. Prior to joining the civil service in 2019, she was a Research Fellow at Grantham Institute at Imperial College, UK. There, her research focussed on energy systems modelling and understanding optimal decarbonisation pathways for different regions and sectors. Her research generated high-impact outputs, gaining media attention, and influencing government, academic and business communities. She holds a PhD in Chemical Engineering from the University of Cambridge and a Bachelor degree in Chemical Engineering from the University of Cape Town, South Africa.
Dr Tamaryn Napp, is Senior Policy Officer in the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero. Dr Napp has over 14 years of experience working in climate change mitigation with a particular focus on industrial decarbonisation. Her roles in government to date include development of the Industrial Decarbonisation Strategy published in 2021 and more recently developing policy to support electrification of industry. Prior to joining the civil service in 2019, she was a Research Fellow at Grantham Institute at Imperial College, UK. There, her research focussed on energy systems modelling and understanding optimal decarbonisation pathways for different regions and sectors. Her research generated high-impact outputs, gaining media attention, and influencing government, academic and business communities. She holds a PhD in Chemical Engineering from the University of Cambridge and a Bachelor degree in Chemical Engineering from the University of Cape Town, South Africa.

Kevin Tang

Researcher, Centre for Risk Studies

Kevin is a researcher at the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies. His research looks at climate disaster risk and recovery, systemic economic and climate risk, and global trends, networks, and linkages in the design and analysis of risk taxonomies and scenarios. He has worked in research related to climate financial risk, including input/output analysis of climate-economy modelling, climate scenario modelling and stress testing, carbon accounting, energy systems, and transition and fiscal policy. He has been a researcher at Oxford University’s School of Geography, Department of Economics, and the Said Business School, where he has worked on topics related to international trade, competition, infrastructure, international development, inequality, and long-run growth. He has been a lecturer at Oxford University and the University of Buckingham. He holds a PhD and MSc from Oxford University, and a BA from Northwestern University.

Taha Tariq

Geopolitical Research Lead, Centre for Risk Studies

Taha Tariq is the Geopolitical Research Lead for the Centre for Risk Studies. He received his MSc in International Relations with a Distinction from the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). He has had prior experience in using open-source intelligence analysis to provide political risk advisory services.

Taha’s research spans contemporary issues concerning geopolitics, defence, and security. Within this cluster, Taha has further researched on international strategic conflict, military modernisation programs, public-private armament partnerships, weapons of mass destruction, ideological terrorism, domestic political polarisation, comparative national institution-building, state failure, geoeconomics, and outer space politics.

Daniel Ralph

Academic Director, Centre for Risk Studies

Professor Daniel Ralph is a Founder and Academic Director of the Centre for Risk Studies, Professor of Operations Research at the University of Cambridge Judge Business School, and a Fellow of Churchill College. Daniel’s research interests include identification and management of systemic risk, risk aversion in investment, economic equilibria models and optimisation methods. Management stress test, via selection and construction of catastrophe scenarios, is one focus of his work in the Centre for Risk Studies. Another is the role and expression of risk management within organisations. Daniel engages across scientific and social science academia, a variety of commercial and industrial sectors, and government policy making. He was Editor-in-Chief of Mathematical Programming (Series B) from 2007-2013.

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