Cambridge Global Risk Index 2020: Launch Event

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9 Dec 2019

14:00 -18:00

Times are shown in local time.

Open to: All

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Willis Towers Watson

51 Lime St

London

EC3M 7DQ

United Kingdom

Overview

The Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies will hold a launch event for the 2020 update of the Cambridge Global Risk Index. The conference will feature key research from the Centre on modelling catastrophe risk to business activities, as well as provide perspectives on their new and emerging risk challenges.

The Centre has launched the sixth annual Cambridge Global Risk Index to bring business critical elements of the Cambridge Risk Framework into focus. Using the Cambridge Centre for Risk Studies’ taxonomy of threats, the Centre is researching the catastrophic disruption to economic activities caused by multi-threat events.

The Global Risk Index allows users to understand the economic implications of a variety of risks and use the GDP@Risk metric to enhance their preparedness and resilience. In this way, governments and firms will be better equipped to deal with risks in the future, some of which they may not have previously encountered. Conference topics will include an integrated risk outlook for 2019, better understanding of corporate risk profiling, and seeing opportunities for the insurance industry through risk science.

View the Cambridge Global Risk Index research

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Programme

9 December 2019

14:00 – 14:30

Registration

14:30 – 14:45

Welcome

Professor Daniel Ralph, Academic Director

14:45 – 14:55

Risk Flash: Finance, Economics and Trade

Ken Deng, Financial Risk Research Lead, Centre for Risk Studies

14:55 – 15:05

Risk Flash: Geopolitics and Security

James Bourdeau, Geopolitical Risk Researcher, Centre for Risk Studies

15:05-15:15

Risk Flash: Technology and Space

Dr Jennifer Daffron, Technology Risk Research Lead, Centre for Risk Studies

15:15 – 15:25

Risk Flash: Natural Catastrophe and Climate

Oliver Carpenter, Environmental and Natural Catastrophe Risk Research Lead, Centre for Risk Studies

15:25-15:35

Risk Flash: Health and Humanity

Tamara Evan, Geopolitical Risk Research Lead, Centre for Risk Studies

15:35 – 15:55

The Outlook for 2020 and its Value for Business

Dr Andrew Coburn, Chief Scientist, Centre for Risk Studies

15:55-16:15

Guest Speaker – Dame Deirdre Hutton, Chair, Civil Aviation Authority

16:15 – 17:00

Panel: Hindsight and Foresight in Managing Global Business Risk

Moderator: Nick Dunlop, Managing Director, Willis Towers Watson

  • Eric Boomla, Head of Risk Management, Tesco
  • Dame Deirdre Hutton, Chair, Civil Aviation Authority
  • Alex Miller, Global Head of Equity Research Product, Citi
  • Clare Williams, Head of Reputation Risk Management, Barclays

17:00-17:05

Closing remarks

17:05 – 18:00

Networking Reception

Speakers

Eric Boomla

Head of Risk Management, Tesco

Oliver Carpenter

Risk Researcher, Centre for Risk Studies

Oliver is a Risk Researcher at the Centre for Risk Studies, where his primary focus is on Project Pandora, which aims to develop a risk analysis framework to understand and model impacts from various natural and man-made global catastrophes.

Jennifer Daffron

Former Research Associate, Centre for Risk Studies

Nick Dunlop

Managing Director, Willis Towers Watson

Dame Deirdre Hutton

Chair, Civil Aviation Authority

Dame Deirdre Hutton became Chair of the Civil Aviation Authority on 1 August 2009 and was previously Chair of the Food Standards Agency until July 2009. She has served on a number of public bodies and has considerable experience of corporate governance, risk-based regulation and consumer policy. She is Honorary Vice President of the Trading Standards Institute, sat as a non-executive on the Board of Thames Water Utilities Limited until end January 2018 and is Pro-Chancellor of Cranfield University. From September 2008 until November 2013 she sat on the Board of HM Treasury. Until June 2008, she was the Vice-Chair of the European Food Safety Authority Management Board and was Deputy Chair of the Financial Services Authority until December 2007. For five years, until 2005, she was Chair of the National Consumer Council, having formerly chaired the Scottish Consumer Council. Prior to her appointment at the Food Standards Agency, she was a member of the Better Regulation Task Force.

Daniel Ralph

Academic Director, Centre for Risk Studies

Professor Daniel Ralph is a Founder and Academic Director of the Centre for Risk Studies, Professor of Operations Research at the University of Cambridge Judge Business School, and a Fellow of Churchill College. Daniel’s research interests include identification and management of systemic risk, risk aversion in investment, economic equilibria models and optimisation methods. Management stress test, via selection and construction of catastrophe scenarios, is one focus of his work in the Centre for Risk Studies. Another is the role and expression of risk management within organisations. Daniel engages across scientific and social science academia, a variety of commercial and industrial sectors, and government policy making. He was Editor-in-Chief of Mathematical Programming (Series B) from 2007-2013.

James Bourdeau

Research Assistant, Centre for Risk Studies

James Bourdeau was a research assistant for cyber terrorism for the Centre of Risk Studies. He has a background in political science and international relations. Prior to joining the Risk Centre, he completed his undergraduate degree in Political Science at Sacred Heart University and received an MA in Intelligence and International Security from the Department of War Studies, King’s College London. He has also interned at the Department of Homeland Security, Homeland Security Investigations.

Andrew Coburn

Chief Scientific Advisor, Centre for Risk Studies

Dr Andrew Coburn manages the External Advisory Board of the Centre for Risk Studies, coordinating the inputs of consumers of research into the Centre’s risk agenda. Andrew is the principal coordinator of the research programme on ‘System Shock’ at the Centre.

Andrew is one of the leading contributors to the creation of the class of catastrophe models that over the past 20 years has come to be an accepted part both of business management in financial services and of public policy making for societal risk. He has extensive experience in developing models and using them for business decision support. Andrew has also provided research inputs into government policy, such as House of Congress legislation on terrorism risk management policy and urban planning for disaster mitigation in Mexico, Metro Manila, and Southern Italy.

Dr Andrew Coburn is a member of the senior management of Risk Management Solutions, the leading provider of catastrophe risk models to the insurance industry.

Ken Deng

Former Research Assistant, Centre for Risk Studies

Ken Deng was a Research Assistant at the Centre for Risk Studies and has a background in corporate finance, asset pricing and economics in general.

Tamara Evan

Risk Researcher, Centre for Risk Studies

Tamara Evan is the Editorial Associate for the Centre for Risk Studies and oversees the completion, production and final delivery of the Centre’s research publications and risk scenario reports.

Alex Miller

Global Head of Equity Research Product, Citi

Alex Miller is a Managing Director and the Global Product Manager for Equity Research at Citi Research, driving thematic, global industry and cross sector initiatives, as well as a member of the Citi Research Executive Committee. Alex is responsible for compiling and marketing the “Theme Book” which summarises the most powerful equity investment themes being analysed by Citi’s research team, as well as working on the Global Theme Machine.

Alex joined Citi in 2002. Between 2002 and 2006 he worked in US Equity Sales in London. Alex was subsequently based in Tokyo, initially in senior roles selling both Japanese and Global equities before becoming Head of Equities for Japan in 2013. He joined Citi Research in 2017. Alex has a First Class Honours degree in Oriental Languages from Oxford University.

Clare Williams

Director of Reputation Management, Barclays

Clare Williams is Head of Reputation Risk Management at Barclays. Reputation Risk is one of Barclays’ eight Principal Risks, with the unit sitting in the first line of defence within the Corporate Relations team, acting as subject matter experts.

Clare has worked for Barclays since 2007, joining as Head of Corporate Communications Asia Pacific, based in Hong Kong. She performed this role until 2015, when she took on responsibility for Diversity & Inclusion and Citizenship programmes in the region, before moving to London in 2016 to assume her reputation risk role.

Prior to joining Barclays, Clare was Head of European Communications at Nomura, based in London. She has previously held financial services communications roles at Credit Agricole and HSBC/Samuel Montagu. Before embarking on her corporate communications career, Clare worked in the UK Foreign & Commonwealth Office with postings to Paris, Moscow and Mexico City; in her final two years in the FCO she worked in the Foreign Secretary’s Private Office. After leaving the FCO she worked for a year in the family office of an Omani businessman and diplomat.

Clare is on the advisory panel of Soulful Enterprise, and is an alumna of the Hong Kong University/Meraki Executive Search “Women’s Directorship Programme”.

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